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Championship · Fixtures

Norwich vs Derby County — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 28 · Tue 26 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Norwich win
56%
Draw
21%
Derby County win
23%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.2 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams score65%
NORNorwichWWLLL17th · 9 pts
DERDerby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts

Ahead of Norwich v Derby County in the Championship on 26 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Norwich the most likely outcome at 56%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.2 for Norwich and 1.3 for Derby County. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Norwich vs Derby County?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Norwich the most likely result at 56%. Full split: Norwich win 56%, draw 21%, Derby County win 23%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Derby County?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Norwich 2–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Norwich 2.2, Derby County 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

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