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Championship · Fixtures

Millwall vs Burnley — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 18 · Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Millwall win
66%
Draw
18%
Burnley win
16%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams score63%
MillwallWLDDW11th · 11 pts
BurnleyLDLDW24th · 4 pts

Ahead of Millwall v Burnley in the Championship on 28 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Millwall the most likely outcome at 66%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.5 for Millwall and 1.2 for Burnley. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Millwall goals down (↓), Burnley goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Millwall
W@ Preston NE1–0
Dvs West Ham2–2
D@ Middlesbrough2–2
L@ Blackburn1–3
Wvs Bolton4–0
Burnley
W@ Watford4–0
Dvs Derby County1–1
L@ Swansea1–3
D@ Wrexham1–1
Lvs Bristol City1–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Millwall winDrawBurnley win

FAQ

Who will win Millwall vs Burnley?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Millwall the most likely result at 66%. Full split: Millwall win 66%, draw 18%, Burnley win 16%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Burnley?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Millwall 2–1 Burnley). Projected goals: Millwall 2.5, Burnley 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring.

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