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Championship · Fixtures

Middlesbrough vs Derby County — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 19 · Sat 5 Dec, 12:30 UTC

Middlesbrough win
66%
Draw
19%
Derby County win
15%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.3 – 1
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score57%
MIDMiddlesbroughWWDDW3rd · 15 pts
DERDerby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts

Ahead of Middlesbrough v Derby County in the Championship on 5 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Middlesbrough the most likely outcome at 66%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.3 for Middlesbrough and 1 for Derby County. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Middlesbrough the most likely result at 66%. Full split: Middlesbrough win 66%, draw 19%, Derby County win 15%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Derby County?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Middlesbrough 2–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Middlesbrough 2.3, Derby County 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring.

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