Middlesbrough vs Burnley — Match Prediction
Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 44 · Tue 20 Apr, 00:00 UTC
MiddlesbroughWWDDW
BurnleyLDLDWAhead of Middlesbrough v Burnley in the Championship on 20 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Middlesbrough the most likely outcome at 73%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.7 for Middlesbrough and 1 for Burnley. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Middlesbrough goals down (↓), Burnley goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Middlesbrough winDrawBurnley win
FAQ
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Burnley?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Middlesbrough the most likely result at 73%. Full split: Middlesbrough win 73%, draw 15%, Burnley win 12%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Burnley?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Middlesbrough 2–1 Burnley). Projected goals: Middlesbrough 2.7, Burnley 1.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.