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Championship · Fixtures

Lincoln City vs Derby County — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 40 · Sat 3 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Lincoln City win
46%
Draw
27%
Derby County win
27%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.4 – 1
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score47%
Lincoln CityDWWLL12th · 11 pts
Derby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts

Ahead of Lincoln City v Derby County in the Championship on 3 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Lincoln City the most likely outcome at 46%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.4 for Lincoln City and 1 for Derby County. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Lincoln City goals down (↓), Derby County goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Lincoln City vs Derby County?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Lincoln City the most likely result at 46%. Full split: Lincoln City win 46%, draw 27%, Derby County win 27%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Lincoln City vs Derby County?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Lincoln City 1–0 Derby County). Projected goals: Lincoln City 1.4, Derby County 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

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