Derby County vs Stoke — Match Prediction
Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Ahead of Derby County v Stoke in the Championship on 17 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Stoke the most likely outcome at 38%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Derby County and 1.4 for Stoke. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Derby County winDrawStoke win
FAQ
Who will win Derby County vs Stoke?
Footyntel's model makes an away win for Stoke the most likely result at 38%. Full split: Derby County win 37%, draw 26%, Stoke win 38%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Stoke?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 Stoke). Projected goals: Derby County 1.4, Stoke 1.4.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.