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Championship · Fixtures

Derby County vs QPR — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 32 · Tue 16 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Derby County win
35%
Draw
26%
QPR win
38%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score53%
Derby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts
QPRLDDDD6th · 13 pts

Ahead of Derby County v QPR in the Championship on 16 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for QPR the most likely outcome at 38%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Derby County and 1.3 for QPR. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Derby County goals down (↓), QPR goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Derby County vs QPR?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for QPR the most likely result at 38%. Full split: Derby County win 35%, draw 26%, QPR win 38%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Derby County vs QPR?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 QPR). Projected goals: Derby County 1.3, QPR 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

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