Derby County vs Portsmouth — Match Prediction
Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 44 · Tue 20 Apr, 00:00 UTC
Derby CountyLLLDD
PortsmouthLWDDLAhead of Derby County v Portsmouth in the Championship on 20 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Derby County the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Derby County and 1.2 for Portsmouth. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Derby County goals down (↓), Portsmouth goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Derby County winDrawPortsmouth win
FAQ
Who will win Derby County vs Portsmouth?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Derby County the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Derby County win 42%, draw 26%, Portsmouth win 32%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Portsmouth?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 Portsmouth). Projected goals: Derby County 1.4, Portsmouth 1.2.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.