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Championship · Fixtures

Derby County vs Norwich — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Derby County win
38%
Draw
23%
Norwich win
40%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score67%
Derby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts
NorwichWWLLL17th · 9 pts

Ahead of Derby County v Norwich in the Championship on 3 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Norwich the most likely outcome at 40%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Derby County and 1.7 for Norwich. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and 67% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Derby County goals down (↓), Norwich goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Derby County 1W · 0D · 1L.

Norwich2–1Derby County
Derby County1–0Norwich

Recent form

Derby County
Dvs Wrexham1–1
D@ Burnley1–1
Lvs Birmingham1–2
Lvs West Brom0–1
L@ West Ham0–3
Norwich
L@ Swansea1–2
Lvs Bolton3–4
L@ Middlesbrough3–4
Wvs Birmingham2–1
W@ Sheffield Utd3–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Derby County winDrawNorwich win

FAQ

Who will win Derby County vs Norwich?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Norwich the most likely result at 40%. Full split: Derby County win 38%, draw 23%, Norwich win 40%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Norwich?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 Norwich). Projected goals: Derby County 1.7, Norwich 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring.

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