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Championship · Fixtures

Derby County vs Millwall — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 27 · Sat 23 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Derby County win
34%
Draw
24%
Millwall win
42%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score62%
Derby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts
MillwallWLDDW11th · 11 pts

Ahead of Derby County v Millwall in the Championship on 23 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Millwall the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Derby County and 1.7 for Millwall. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Derby County goals down (↓), Millwall goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Derby County 0W · 1D · 1L.

Millwall1–0Derby County
Derby County1–1Millwall

Recent form

Derby County
Dvs Wrexham1–1
D@ Burnley1–1
Lvs Birmingham1–2
Lvs West Brom0–1
L@ West Ham0–3
Millwall
W@ Preston NE1–0
Dvs West Ham2–2
D@ Middlesbrough2–2
L@ Blackburn1–3
Wvs Bolton4–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Derby County winDrawMillwall win

FAQ

Who will win Derby County vs Millwall?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Millwall the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Derby County win 34%, draw 24%, Millwall win 42%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Millwall?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 Millwall). Projected goals: Derby County 1.5, Millwall 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.

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