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Championship · Fixtures

Derby County vs Middlesbrough — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 38 · Tue 16 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Derby County win
26%
Draw
23%
Middlesbrough win
51%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.8
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score60%
DERDerby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts
MIDMiddlesbroughWWDDW3rd · 15 pts

Ahead of Derby County v Middlesbrough in the Championship on 16 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Middlesbrough the most likely outcome at 51%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Derby County and 1.8 for Middlesbrough. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Derby County vs Middlesbrough?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Middlesbrough the most likely result at 51%. Full split: Derby County win 26%, draw 23%, Middlesbrough win 51%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Middlesbrough?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 Middlesbrough). Projected goals: Derby County 1.3, Middlesbrough 1.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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