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Championship · Fixtures

Derby County vs Lincoln City — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 UTC

Derby County win
40%
Draw
28%
Lincoln City win
32%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams score47%
Derby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts
Lincoln CityDWWLL12th · 11 pts

Ahead of Derby County v Lincoln City in the Championship on 19 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Derby County the most likely outcome at 40%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.2 for Derby County and 1.1 for Lincoln City. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Derby County goals down (↓), Lincoln City goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Derby County vs Lincoln City?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Derby County the most likely result at 40%. Full split: Derby County win 40%, draw 28%, Lincoln City win 32%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Lincoln City?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 Lincoln City). Projected goals: Derby County 1.2, Lincoln City 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

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