Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Derby County vs Charlton — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 36 · Sat 6 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Derby County win
44%
Draw
29%
Charlton win
28%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams score44%
DERDerby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts
CHACharltonLDDLD9th · 12 pts

Ahead of Derby County v Charlton in the Championship on 6 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Derby County the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.3 for Derby County and 0.9 for Charlton. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Derby County vs Charlton?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Derby County the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Derby County win 44%, draw 29%, Charlton win 28%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Charlton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Derby County 1–0 Charlton). Projected goals: Derby County 1.3, Charlton 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring.

← Championship table & projection