Derby County vs Bristol City — Match Prediction
Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 20 · Wed 9 Dec, 19:45 UTC
Derby CountyLLLDD
Bristol CityWLLWDAhead of Derby County v Bristol City in the Championship on 9 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Derby County the most likely outcome at 38%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Derby County and 1.4 for Bristol City. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Derby County goals down (↓), Bristol City goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Derby County winDrawBristol City win
FAQ
Who will win Derby County vs Bristol City?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Derby County the most likely result at 38%. Full split: Derby County win 38%, draw 25%, Bristol City win 36%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Bristol City?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 Bristol City). Projected goals: Derby County 1.4, Bristol City 1.4.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.