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Championship · Fixtures

Derby County vs Bolton — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Derby County win
45%
Draw
24%
Bolton win
31%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score60%
DERDerby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts
BOLBoltonLLWWL15th · 10 pts

Ahead of Derby County v Bolton in the Championship on 6 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Derby County the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Derby County and 1.3 for Bolton. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Derby County vs Bolton?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Derby County the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Derby County win 45%, draw 24%, Bolton win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Bolton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 Bolton). Projected goals: Derby County 1.7, Bolton 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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