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Championship · Fixtures

Derby County vs Blackburn — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 25 · Fri 1 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Derby County win
40%
Draw
26%
Blackburn win
33%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score53%
Derby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts
BlackburnLLWDW16th · 9 pts

Ahead of Derby County v Blackburn in the Championship on 1 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Derby County the most likely outcome at 40%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Derby County and 1.2 for Blackburn. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Derby County goals down (↓), Blackburn goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Derby County 2W · 0D · 0L.

Derby County3–1Blackburn
Blackburn1–2Derby County

Recent form

Derby County
Dvs Wrexham1–1
D@ Burnley1–1
Lvs Birmingham1–2
Lvs West Brom0–1
L@ West Ham0–3
Blackburn
Wvs Cardiff2–1
D@ Portsmouth2–2
Wvs Millwall3–1
Lvs Sheffield Utd1–2
L@ Preston NE1–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Derby County winDrawBlackburn win

FAQ

Who will win Derby County vs Blackburn?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Derby County the most likely result at 40%. Full split: Derby County win 40%, draw 26%, Blackburn win 33%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Blackburn?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Derby County 1–1 Blackburn). Projected goals: Derby County 1.4, Blackburn 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

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