Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Charlton vs Burnley — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 32 · Tue 16 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Charlton win
46%
Draw
27%
Burnley win
27%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score48%
CharltonLDDLD9th · 12 pts
BurnleyLDLDW24th · 4 pts

Ahead of Charlton v Burnley in the Championship on 16 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Charlton the most likely outcome at 46%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Charlton and 1 for Burnley. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Charlton goals down (↓), Burnley goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

99520013136210994100442100111000000000012345012345

Recent form

Charlton
Dvs Bristol City1–1
L@ Cardiff1–3
Dvs Portsmouth0–0
Dvs QPR0–0
L@ Stoke0–4
Burnley
W@ Watford4–0
Dvs Derby County1–1
L@ Swansea1–3
D@ Wrexham1–1
Lvs Bristol City1–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Charlton winDrawBurnley win

FAQ

Who will win Charlton vs Burnley?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Charlton the most likely result at 46%. Full split: Charlton win 46%, draw 27%, Burnley win 27%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Burnley?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Charlton 1–1 Burnley). Projected goals: Charlton 1.4, Burnley 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring.

← Championship table & projection