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Championship · Fixtures

Burnley vs Wolverhampton — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Burnley win
28%
Draw
22%
Wolverhampton win
50%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 2
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score66%
BurnleyLDLDW24th · 4 pts
WolverhamptonLDWWL4th · 14 pts

Ahead of Burnley v Wolverhampton in the Championship on 16 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Wolverhampton the most likely outcome at 50%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Burnley and 2 for Wolverhampton. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Burnley goals down (↓), Wolverhampton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Burnley
W@ Watford4–0
Dvs Derby County1–1
L@ Swansea1–3
D@ Wrexham1–1
Lvs Bristol City1–2
Wolverhampton
L@ Middlesbrough0–1
Wvs West Brom1–0
W@ Sheffield Utd1–0
D@ Birmingham2–2
L@ West Ham2–4
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Burnley winDrawWolverhampton win

FAQ

Who will win Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Wolverhampton the most likely result at 50%. Full split: Burnley win 28%, draw 22%, Wolverhampton win 50%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Burnley 1–1 Wolverhampton). Projected goals: Burnley 1.4, Wolverhampton 2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring.

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