Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Burnley vs Stoke — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 UTC

Burnley win
32%
Draw
24%
Stoke win
44%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score60%
BurnleyLDLDW24th · 4 pts
StokeWDWWW7th · 13 pts

Ahead of Burnley v Stoke in the Championship on 19 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Stoke the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Burnley and 1.6 for Stoke. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Burnley goals down (↓), Stoke goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

5874107119521586310233210111100000000012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Burnley vs Stoke?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Stoke the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Burnley win 32%, draw 24%, Stoke win 44%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Stoke?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Burnley 1–1 Stoke). Projected goals: Burnley 1.4, Stoke 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

← Championship table & projection