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Championship · Fixtures

Burnley vs Bolton — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 39 · Sat 20 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Burnley win
41%
Draw
23%
Bolton win
36%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score64%
BurnleyLDLDW24th · 4 pts
BoltonLLWWL15th · 10 pts

Ahead of Burnley v Bolton in the Championship on 20 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Burnley the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Burnley and 1.6 for Bolton. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Burnley goals down (↓), Bolton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Burnley
W@ Watford4–0
Dvs Derby County1–1
L@ Swansea1–3
D@ Wrexham1–1
Lvs Bristol City1–2
Bolton
Lvs Stoke1–2
W@ Norwich4–3
Wvs Cardiff1–0
Lvs West Ham2–3
L@ Millwall0–4
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Burnley winDrawBolton win

FAQ

Who will win Burnley vs Bolton?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Burnley the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Burnley win 41%, draw 23%, Bolton win 36%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Bolton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Burnley 1–1 Bolton). Projected goals: Burnley 1.7, Bolton 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring.

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