Bristol City vs Derby County — Match Prediction
Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 45 · Sat 24 Apr, 00:00 UTC
Ahead of Bristol City v Derby County in the Championship on 24 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bristol City the most likely outcome at 51%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Bristol City and 1.1 for Derby County. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bristol City goals down (↓), Derby County goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Bristol City winDrawDerby County win
FAQ
Who will win Bristol City vs Derby County?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bristol City the most likely result at 51%. Full split: Bristol City win 51%, draw 24%, Derby County win 25%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Derby County?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Bristol City 1–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Bristol City 1.7, Derby County 1.1.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.