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Championship · Fixtures

Bolton 1–2 Stoke

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 2

Bolton 1–2 Stoke — Stoke won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Stoke to win at 38%, and the exact 1–2 scoreline at about 8%.

Pre-match model view

Bolton win
38%
Draw
24%
Stoke win
38%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score61%
BoltonLLWWL15th · 10 pts
StokeWDWWW7th · 13 pts

Ahead of Bolton v Stoke in the Championship on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Stoke the most likely outcome at 38%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Bolton and 1.5 for Stoke. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bolton goals down (↓), Stoke goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

5763107118420686310343210121100000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Bolton 0W · 0D · 1L.

Bolton1–2Stoke

Recent form

Bolton
Lvs Stoke1–2
W@ Norwich4–3
Wvs Cardiff1–0
Lvs West Ham2–3
L@ Millwall0–4
Stoke
W@ Bolton2–1
Wvs Sheffield Utd2–1
W@ Watford2–1
D@ Cardiff1–1
Wvs Charlton4–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Bolton winDrawStoke win

FAQ

Who will win Bolton vs Stoke?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Stoke the most likely result at 38%. Full split: Bolton win 38%, draw 24%, Stoke win 38%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Stoke?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Bolton 1–1 Stoke). Projected goals: Bolton 1.5, Stoke 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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