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Championship · Fixtures

Bolton vs Derby County — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 29 · Sat 30 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Bolton win
46%
Draw
24%
Derby County win
30%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score60%
BOLBoltonLLWWL15th · 10 pts
DERDerby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts

Ahead of Bolton v Derby County in the Championship on 30 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bolton the most likely outcome at 46%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Bolton and 1.3 for Derby County. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Bolton vs Derby County?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bolton the most likely result at 46%. Full split: Bolton win 46%, draw 24%, Derby County win 30%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Derby County?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Bolton 1–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Bolton 1.7, Derby County 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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