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Championship · Fixtures

Bolton vs Burnley — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sat 26 Dec, 12:30 UTC

Bolton win
52%
Draw
22%
Burnley win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals2 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score63%
BoltonLLWWL15th · 10 pts
BurnleyLDLDW24th · 4 pts

Ahead of Bolton v Burnley in the Championship on 26 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bolton the most likely outcome at 52%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 2 for Bolton and 1.3 for Burnley. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bolton goals down (↓), Burnley goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Bolton
Lvs Stoke1–2
W@ Norwich4–3
Wvs Cardiff1–0
Lvs West Ham2–3
L@ Millwall0–4
Burnley
W@ Watford4–0
Dvs Derby County1–1
L@ Swansea1–3
D@ Wrexham1–1
Lvs Bristol City1–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Bolton winDrawBurnley win

FAQ

Who will win Bolton vs Burnley?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bolton the most likely result at 52%. Full split: Bolton win 52%, draw 22%, Burnley win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Burnley?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Bolton 1–1 Burnley). Projected goals: Bolton 2, Burnley 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring.

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