Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Blackburn vs Birmingham — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 UTC

Blackburn win
38%
Draw
26%
Birmingham win
35%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score52%
BlackburnLLWDW16th · 9 pts
BirminghamDLWDW10th · 11 pts

Ahead of Blackburn v Birmingham in the Championship on 26 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Blackburn the most likely outcome at 38%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Blackburn and 1.3 for Birmingham. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Blackburn goals down (↓), Birmingham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

810621010138310785210342100111000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Blackburn 1W · 0D · 1L.

Birmingham0–1Blackburn
Blackburn1–2Birmingham

Recent form

Blackburn
Wvs Cardiff2–1
D@ Portsmouth2–2
Wvs Millwall3–1
Lvs Sheffield Utd1–2
L@ Preston NE1–2
Birmingham
W@ West Brom1–0
Dvs Middlesbrough2–2
W@ Derby County2–1
L@ Norwich1–2
Dvs Wolverhampton2–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Blackburn winDrawBirmingham win

FAQ

Who will win Blackburn vs Birmingham?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Blackburn the most likely result at 38%. Full split: Blackburn win 38%, draw 26%, Birmingham win 35%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Birmingham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Blackburn 1–1 Birmingham). Projected goals: Blackburn 1.3, Birmingham 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

← Championship table & projection