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Championship · Fixtures

Birmingham vs Watford — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 20 · Tue 8 Dec, 19:45 UTC

Birmingham win
53%
Draw
25%
Watford win
22%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score47%
BirminghamDLWDW10th · 11 pts
WatfordLWLLL20th · 8 pts

Ahead of Birmingham v Watford in the Championship on 8 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Birmingham the most likely outcome at 53%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.6 for Birmingham and 0.9 for Watford. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Birmingham goals down (↓), Watford goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Birmingham 1W · 0D · 1L.

Watford3–0Birmingham
Birmingham2–1Watford

Recent form

Birmingham
W@ West Brom1–0
Dvs Middlesbrough2–2
W@ Derby County2–1
L@ Norwich1–2
Dvs Wolverhampton2–2
Watford
Lvs Burnley0–4
L@ Bristol City0–1
Lvs Stoke1–2
Wvs Preston NE2–1
L@ West Brom0–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Birmingham winDrawWatford win

FAQ

Who will win Birmingham vs Watford?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Birmingham the most likely result at 53%. Full split: Birmingham win 53%, draw 25%, Watford win 22%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Watford?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Birmingham 1–0 Watford). Projected goals: Birmingham 1.6, Watford 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

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