Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Birmingham vs QPR — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Birmingham win
45%
Draw
26%
QPR win
29%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score52%
BirminghamDLWDW10th · 11 pts
QPRLDDDD6th · 13 pts

Ahead of Birmingham v QPR in the Championship on 17 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Birmingham the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Birmingham and 1.1 for QPR. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Birmingham goals down (↓), QPR goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

78521011127310895210442100121000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Birmingham 1W · 0D · 1L.

Birmingham1–0QPR
QPR2–1Birmingham

Recent form

Birmingham
W@ West Brom1–0
Dvs Middlesbrough2–2
W@ Derby County2–1
L@ Norwich1–2
Dvs Wolverhampton2–2
QPR
D@ West Ham1–1
Dvs Preston NE2–2
D@ West Brom1–1
D@ Charlton0–0
Lvs Middlesbrough0–1

FAQ

Who will win Birmingham vs QPR?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Birmingham the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Birmingham win 45%, draw 26%, QPR win 29%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs QPR?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Birmingham 1–1 QPR). Projected goals: Birmingham 1.5, QPR 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

← Championship table & projection