Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Birmingham vs Derby County — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 31 · Sat 13 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Birmingham win
54%
Draw
23%
Derby County win
22%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.8 – 1
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score54%
BIRBirminghamDLWDW10th · 11 pts
DERDerby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts

Ahead of Birmingham v Derby County in the Championship on 13 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Birmingham the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Birmingham and 1 for Derby County. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Birmingham vs Derby County?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Birmingham the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Birmingham win 54%, draw 23%, Derby County win 22%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Derby County?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Birmingham 1–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Birmingham 1.8, Derby County 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

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