Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Birmingham vs Burnley — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 46 · Sat 1 May, 00:00 UTC

Birmingham win
61%
Draw
21%
Burnley win
18%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.1 – 1
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score56%
BirminghamDLWDW10th · 11 pts
BurnleyLDLDW24th · 4 pts

Ahead of Birmingham v Burnley in the Championship on 1 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Birmingham the most likely outcome at 61%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.1 for Birmingham and 1 for Burnley. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Birmingham goals down (↓), Burnley goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Birmingham vs Burnley?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Birmingham the most likely result at 61%. Full split: Birmingham win 61%, draw 21%, Burnley win 18%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Burnley?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Birmingham 2–1 Burnley). Projected goals: Birmingham 2.1, Burnley 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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