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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Union Berlin 1–0 Elversberg

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 5 · Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Full time

1 – 0

Union Berlin 1–0 Elversberg — Union Berlin won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Union Berlin to win at 36%, and the exact 1–0 scoreline at about 5%.

Pre-match model view

Union Berlin win
36%
Draw
23%
Elversberg win
41%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.8
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score67%
Union BerlinDLLLW16th · 4 pts
ElversbergWWLDL9th · 7 pts

Ahead of Union Berlin v Elversberg in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Elversberg the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for Union Berlin and 1.8 for Elversberg. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and 67% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Union Berlin goals down (↓), Elversberg goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Union Berlin 1W · 0D · 0L.

Union Berlin1–0Elversberg

Recent form

Union Berlin
Wvs Elversberg1–0
L@ Bayern0–7
Lvs Schalke1–3
L@ Leverkusen0–4
Dvs Frankfurt3–3
Elversberg
L@ Union Berlin0–1
D@ Schalke0–0
Lvs Bayern1–2
W@ M'gladbach4–3
Wvs Leverkusen3–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Union Berlin winDrawElversberg win

FAQ

Who will win Union Berlin vs Elversberg?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Elversberg the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Union Berlin win 36%, draw 23%, Elversberg win 41%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs Elversberg?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Union Berlin 1–1 Elversberg). Projected goals: Union Berlin 1.6, Elversberg 1.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring.

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