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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Schalke vs Mainz — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sat 17 Oct, 13:30 UTC

Schalke win
47%
Draw
23%
Mainz win
30%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score62%
S04SchalkeLDWD12th · 5 pts
M05MainzDWLWL8th · 7 pts

Ahead of Schalke v Mainz in the Bundesliga on 17 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Schalke the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Schalke and 1.4 for Mainz. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Schalke vs Mainz?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Schalke the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Schalke win 47%, draw 23%, Mainz win 30%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Schalke vs Mainz?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Schalke 1–1 Mainz). Projected goals: Schalke 1.8, Mainz 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.

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