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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Leverkusen vs M'gladbach — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sat 5 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Leverkusen win
88%
Draw
8%
M'gladbach win
4%
Most likely score3–0
Projected goals3.8 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals85%
Both teams score58%
LeverkusenLWDWW4th · 10 pts
M'gladbachLLLL18th · 1 pts

Ahead of Leverkusen v M'gladbach in the Bundesliga on 5 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Leverkusen the most likely outcome at 88%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–0, with projected goals of 3.8 for Leverkusen and 0.9 for M'gladbach. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Leverkusen goals down (↓), M'gladbach goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Leverkusen vs M'gladbach?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Leverkusen the most likely result at 88%. Full split: Leverkusen win 88%, draw 8%, M'gladbach win 4%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Leverkusen vs M'gladbach?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–0 (Leverkusen 3–0 M'gladbach). Projected goals: Leverkusen 3.8, M'gladbach 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

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