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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Hoffenheim 2–3 HSV

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 5 · Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Full time

2 – 3

Hoffenheim 2–3 HSV — HSV won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated HSV to win at 9%, and the exact 2–3 scoreline at about 1%.

Pre-match model view

Hoffenheim win
78%
Draw
13%
HSV win
9%
Most likely score3–1
Projected goals3.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals78%
Both teams score62%
HoffenheimLLWLL17th · 3 pts
HSVLLLWW13th · 6 pts

Ahead of Hoffenheim v HSV in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Hoffenheim the most likely outcome at 78%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–1, with projected goals of 3.1 for Hoffenheim and 1.1 for HSV. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Hoffenheim goals down (↓), HSV goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Hoffenheim 2W · 0D · 1L.

Hoffenheim2–3HSV
HSV1–2Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim4–1HSV

Recent form

Hoffenheim
Lvs HSV2–3
L@ SC Paderborn1–3
Wvs Stuttgart2–1
Lvs Dortmund2–3
L@ 1. FC Köln2–3
HSV
W@ Hoffenheim3–2
Wvs 1. FC Köln2–1
L@ RB Leipzig0–5
Lvs Mainz0–5
L@ Dortmund0–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Hoffenheim winDrawHSV win

FAQ

Who will win Hoffenheim vs HSV?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Hoffenheim the most likely result at 78%. Full split: Hoffenheim win 78%, draw 13%, HSV win 9%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Hoffenheim vs HSV?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–1 (Hoffenheim 3–1 HSV). Projected goals: Hoffenheim 3.1, HSV 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.

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