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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Freiburg vs Leverkusen — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sat 27 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Freiburg win
53%
Draw
20%
Leverkusen win
27%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.3 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals74%
Both teams score72%
FreiburgWWWD3rd · 10 pts
LeverkusenLWDWW4th · 10 pts

Ahead of Freiburg v Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 27 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Freiburg the most likely outcome at 53%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.3 for Freiburg and 1.6 for Leverkusen. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and 72% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Freiburg goals down (↓), Leverkusen goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Freiburg vs Leverkusen?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Freiburg the most likely result at 53%. Full split: Freiburg win 53%, draw 20%, Leverkusen win 27%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Freiburg vs Leverkusen?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Freiburg 2–1 Leverkusen). Projected goals: Freiburg 2.3, Leverkusen 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring.

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