Dortmund 2–2 Bremen

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 5 · Fri 9 Oct, 18:30 UTC · Full time

2 – 2

Dortmund 2–2 Bremen — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 10%, and the exact 2–2 scoreline at about 2%.

Pre-match model view

Dortmund win

85%

Draw

10%

Bremen win

Most likely score3–0

Projected goals3.1 – 0.7

Over 2.5 goals72%

Both teams score46%

DortmundWWWWD1st · 13 pts

BremenLWDWD7th · 8 pts

Ahead of Dortmund v Bremen in the Bundesliga on 9 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Dortmund the most likely outcome at 85%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–0, with projected goals of 3.1 for Dortmund and 0.7 for Bremen. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Dortmund goals down (↓), Bremen goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Dortmund 2W · 1D · 0L.

Dortmund2–2Bremen

Bremen0–2Dortmund

Dortmund3–0Bremen

Recent form

Dortmund

Dvs Bremen2–2

W@ Stuttgart1–0

Wvs SC Paderborn3–0

W@ Hoffenheim3–2

Wvs HSV2–0

Bremen

D@ Dortmund2–2

Wvs Augsburg3–2

D@ 1. FC Köln1–1

Wvs RB Leipzig3–1

L@ Freiburg1–4

What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Dortmund win Draw Bremen win

FAQ

Who will win Dortmund vs Bremen?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Dortmund the most likely result at 85%. Full split: Dortmund win 85%, draw 10%, Bremen win 5%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Dortmund vs Bremen?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–0 (Dortmund 3–0 Bremen). Projected goals: Dortmund 3.1, Bremen 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring.

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