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Bundesliga · Fixtures

Bayern vs 1. FC Köln — Match Prediction

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Fri 20 Nov, 19:30 UTC

Bayern win
94%
Draw
4%
1. FC Köln win
2%
Most likely score4–0
Projected goals4.5 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals88%
Both teams score47%
BayernWDWWD2nd · 11 pts
1. FC KölnWLDL13th · 5 pts

Ahead of Bayern v 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga on 20 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bayern the most likely outcome at 94%. The single most probable scoreline is 4–0, with projected goals of 4.5 for Bayern and 0.7 for 1. FC Köln. There is a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bayern goals down (↓), 1. FC Köln goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Bayern vs 1. FC Köln?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bayern the most likely result at 94%. Full split: Bayern win 94%, draw 4%, 1. FC Köln win 2%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bayern vs 1. FC Köln?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 4–0 (Bayern 4–0 1. FC Köln). Projected goals: Bayern 4.5, 1. FC Köln 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

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