Augsburg 2–2 Bayern

Bundesliga 2026/27 · Matchday 5 · Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UTC · Full time

2 – 2

Augsburg 2–2 Bayern — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 15%, and the exact 2–2 scoreline at about 5%.

Pre-match model view

Augsburg win

15%

Draw

15%

Bayern win

70%

Most likely score1–2

Projected goals1.4 – 3

Over 2.5 goals81%

Both teams score71%

AugsburgWWDLD6th · 8 pts

BayernWDWWD2nd · 11 pts

Ahead of Augsburg v Bayern in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Bayern the most likely outcome at 70%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.4 for Augsburg and 3 for Bayern. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and 71% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Augsburg goals down (↓), Bayern goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Augsburg 1W · 1D · 1L.

Augsburg2–2Bayern

Bayern1–2Augsburg

Augsburg2–3Bayern

Recent form

Augsburg

Dvs Bayern2–2

L@ Bremen2–3

Dvs Leverkusen2–2

W@ Frankfurt4–1

Wvs Schalke3–0

Bayern

D@ Augsburg2–2

Wvs Union Berlin7–0

W@ Elversberg2–1

D@ Schalke0–0

Wvs Stuttgart5–1

What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Augsburg win Draw Bayern win

FAQ

Who will win Augsburg vs Bayern?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Bayern the most likely result at 70%. Full split: Augsburg win 15%, draw 15%, Bayern win 70%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Augsburg vs Bayern?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Augsburg 1–2 Bayern). Projected goals: Augsburg 1.4, Bayern 3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring.

← Bundesliga table & projection