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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Vitória 4–0 Chapecoense

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 29 · Wed 7 Oct, 23:00 UTC · Full time

4 – 0

Vitória 4–0 Chapecoense — Vitória won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Vitória to win at 55%, and the exact 4–0 scoreline at about 3%.

Pre-match model view

Vitória win
55%
Draw
23%
Chapecoense win
22%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.8 – 1
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score53%
VitóriaWDLWL12th · 36 pts
ChapecoenseLWLDL20th · 18 pts

Ahead of Vitória v Chapecoense in the Brasileirão Série A on 7 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Vitória the most likely outcome at 55%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Vitória and 1 for Chapecoense. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Vitória goals down (↓), Chapecoense goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

6631001111620010105200663100331000110000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Vitória 1W · 1D · 0L.

Vitória4–0Chapecoense
Chapecoense1–1Vitória

Recent form

Vitória
L@ São Paulo1–2
Wvs Chapecoense4–0
Lvs Cruzeiro1–3
D@ Mirassol2–2
Wvs Grêmio1–0
Chapecoense
L@ Vitória0–4
D@ Mineiro1–1
Lvs Internacional1–2
W@ Corinthians2–1
L@ Grêmio1–3
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Vitória winDrawChapecoense win

FAQ

Who will win Vitória vs Chapecoense?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Vitória the most likely result at 55%. Full split: Vitória win 55%, draw 23%, Chapecoense win 22%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Vitória vs Chapecoense?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Vitória 1–1 Chapecoense). Projected goals: Vitória 1.8, Chapecoense 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

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