Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures
São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama — Match Prediction
Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 31 · Sun 18 Oct, 00:00 UTC
São PauloLWLLW
Vasco da GamaLWWWDAhead of São Paulo v Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão Série A on 18 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for São Paulo the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.5 for São Paulo and 1 for Vasco da Gama. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — São Paulo goals down (↓), Vasco da Gama goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: São Paulo winDrawVasco da Gama win
FAQ
Who will win São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for São Paulo the most likely result at 49%. Full split: São Paulo win 49%, draw 26%, Vasco da Gama win 25%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (São Paulo 1–0 Vasco da Gama). Projected goals: São Paulo 1.5, Vasco da Gama 1.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring.