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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

São Paulo 1–2 Santos

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 21 · Fri 2 Oct, 23:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 2

São Paulo 1–2 Santos — Santos won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Santos to win at 29%, and the exact 1–2 scoreline at about 7%.

Pre-match model view

São Paulo win
45%
Draw
26%
Santos win
29%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score52%
São PauloLWLLW9th · 39 pts
SantosWWWWD8th · 42 pts

Ahead of São Paulo v Santos in the Brasileirão Série A on 2 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for São Paulo the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for São Paulo and 1.1 for Santos. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — São Paulo goals down (↓), Santos goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings — São Paulo 1W · 1D · 2L.

São Paulo1–2Santos
Santos1–1São Paulo
Santos1–0São Paulo
São Paulo2–1Santos

Recent form

São Paulo
Wvs Vitória2–1
L@ Cruzeiro0–2
Lvs Santos1–2
Wvs Internacional1–0
L@ Palmeiras0–2
Santos
Dvs Flamengo2–2
W@ São Paulo2–1
W@ Clube do Remo2–1
Wvs Cruzeiro2–1
W@ Internacional3–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: São Paulo winDrawSantos win

FAQ

Who will win São Paulo vs Santos?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for São Paulo the most likely result at 45%. Full split: São Paulo win 45%, draw 26%, Santos win 29%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for São Paulo vs Santos?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (São Paulo 1–1 Santos). Projected goals: São Paulo 1.5, Santos 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

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