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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

São Paulo vs Corinthians — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 34 · Thu 5 Nov, 00:30 UTC

São Paulo win
45%
Draw
30%
Corinthians win
25%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.2 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams score39%
São PauloLWLLW9th · 39 pts
CorinthiansLLLLL16th · 32 pts

Ahead of São Paulo v Corinthians in the Brasileirão Série A on 5 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for São Paulo the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.2 for São Paulo and 0.8 for Corinthians. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — São Paulo goals down (↓), Corinthians goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win São Paulo vs Corinthians?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for São Paulo the most likely result at 45%. Full split: São Paulo win 45%, draw 30%, Corinthians win 25%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for São Paulo vs Corinthians?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (São Paulo 1–0 Corinthians). Projected goals: São Paulo 1.2, Corinthians 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring.

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