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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Paranaense 2–2 Mineiro

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 29 · Thu 8 Oct, 23:00 UTC · Full time

2 – 2

Paranaense 2–2 Mineiro — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 26%, and the exact 2–2 scoreline at about 5%.

Pre-match model view

Paranaense win
48%
Draw
26%
Mineiro win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score50%
ParanaenseDLDWD4th · 50 pts
MineiroLWDWD7th · 44 pts

Ahead of Paranaense v Mineiro in the Brasileirão Série A on 8 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Paranaense the most likely outcome at 48%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Paranaense and 1 for Mineiro. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Paranaense goals down (↓), Mineiro goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

88410012126210995200552100221000110000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Paranaense 0W · 1D · 1L.

Paranaense2–2Mineiro
Mineiro2–1Paranaense

Recent form

Paranaense
Dvs Mineiro2–2
Wvs Bahia2–1
D@ Coritiba3–3
L@ Cruzeiro1–3
Dvs Fluminense3–3
Mineiro
D@ Paranaense2–2
Wvs Bragantino1–0
Dvs Chapecoense1–1
Wvs Fluminense3–1
L@ São Paulo0–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Paranaense winDrawMineiro win

FAQ

Who will win Paranaense vs Mineiro?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Paranaense the most likely result at 48%. Full split: Paranaense win 48%, draw 26%, Mineiro win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Paranaense vs Mineiro?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Paranaense 1–1 Mineiro). Projected goals: Paranaense 1.5, Mineiro 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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