Footyntel.

Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 29 · Fri 9 Oct, 00:30 UTC · Full time

1 – 0

Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia — Palmeiras won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Palmeiras to win at 64%, and the exact 1–0 scoreline at about 14%.

Pre-match model view

Palmeiras win
64%
Draw
22%
Bahia win
14%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score43%
PalmeirasDDWDW2nd · 60 pts
BahiaWWWLL6th · 46 pts

Ahead of Palmeiras v Bahia in the Brasileirão Série A on 9 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Palmeiras the most likely outcome at 64%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.8 for Palmeiras and 0.7 for Bahia. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Palmeiras goals down (↓), Bahia goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

862000141041001393100862000431000110000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings — Palmeiras 2W · 0D · 2L.

Palmeiras1–0Bahia
Bahia1–2Palmeiras
Bahia1–0Palmeiras
Palmeiras0–1Bahia

Recent form

Palmeiras
Wvs Bahia1–0
D@ Grêmio0–0
Wvs São Paulo2–0
D@ Botafogo0–0
D@ Mirassol1–1
Bahia
L@ Palmeiras0–1
L@ Paranaense1–2
Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
W@ Bragantino3–2
Wvs Internacional3–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Palmeiras winDrawBahia win

FAQ

Who will win Palmeiras vs Bahia?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Palmeiras the most likely result at 64%. Full split: Palmeiras win 64%, draw 22%, Bahia win 14%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Bahia?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Palmeiras 1–0 Bahia). Projected goals: Palmeiras 1.8, Bahia 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring.

← Brasileirão Série A table & projection