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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Grêmio vs Paranaense — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 33 · Fri 30 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Grêmio win
34%
Draw
27%
Paranaense win
39%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score50%
GrêmioLLLDD18th · 30 pts
ParanaenseDLDWD4th · 50 pts

Ahead of Grêmio v Paranaense in the Brasileirão Série A on 30 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Paranaense the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.2 for Grêmio and 1.3 for Paranaense. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Grêmio goals down (↓), Paranaense goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Grêmio vs Paranaense?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Paranaense the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Grêmio win 34%, draw 27%, Paranaense win 39%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Grêmio vs Paranaense?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Grêmio 1–1 Paranaense). Projected goals: Grêmio 1.2, Paranaense 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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