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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Grêmio vs Mirassol — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 38 · Wed 2 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Grêmio win
42%
Draw
27%
Mirassol win
31%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score50%
GrêmioLLLDD18th · 30 pts
MirassolLWDWD15th · 33 pts

Ahead of Grêmio v Mirassol in the Brasileirão Série A on 2 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Grêmio the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Grêmio and 1.1 for Mirassol. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Grêmio goals down (↓), Mirassol goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

89521011137310895210342100111000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Grêmio 0W · 0D · 3L.

Mirassol2–1Grêmio
Grêmio0–1Mirassol
Mirassol4–1Grêmio

Recent form

Grêmio
D@ Clube do Remo1–1
Dvs Palmeiras0–0
L@ Botafogo2–3
Lvs Vasco da Gama1–2
L@ Vitória0–1
Mirassol
D@ Bragantino1–1
Wvs Botafogo2–0
Dvs Vitória2–2
W@ Coritiba2–1
L@ Flamengo0–2

FAQ

Who will win Grêmio vs Mirassol?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Grêmio the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Grêmio win 42%, draw 27%, Mirassol win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Grêmio vs Mirassol?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Grêmio 1–1 Mirassol). Projected goals: Grêmio 1.3, Mirassol 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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