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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Fluminense 4–0 Coritiba

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 29 · Fri 9 Oct, 00:30 UTC · Full time

4 – 0

Fluminense 4–0 Coritiba — Fluminense won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Fluminense to win at 65%, and the exact 4–0 scoreline at about 4%.

Pre-match model view

Fluminense win
65%
Draw
19%
Coritiba win
16%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.2 – 1
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score55%
FluminenseDWLWW3rd · 51 pts
CoritibaWLDLL10th · 38 pts

Ahead of Fluminense v Coritiba in the Brasileirão Série A on 9 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Fluminense the most likely outcome at 65%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.2 for Fluminense and 1 for Coritiba. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Fluminense goals down (↓), Coritiba goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Fluminense 1W · 1D · 0L.

Fluminense4–0Coritiba
Coritiba1–1Fluminense

Recent form

Fluminense
Wvs Coritiba4–0
W@ Corinthians3–1
L@ Mineiro1–3
Wvs Vasco da Gama1–0
D@ Paranaense3–3
Coritiba
L@ Fluminense0–4
L@ Vasco da Gama0–5
Dvs Paranaense3–3
Lvs Mirassol1–2
W@ Clube do Remo3–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Fluminense winDrawCoritiba win

FAQ

Who will win Fluminense vs Coritiba?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Fluminense the most likely result at 65%. Full split: Fluminense win 65%, draw 19%, Coritiba win 16%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Coritiba?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Fluminense 2–0 Coritiba). Projected goals: Fluminense 2.2, Coritiba 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.

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