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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Flamengo vs Grêmio — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 34 · Wed 4 Nov, 22:30 UTC

Flamengo win
77%
Draw
16%
Grêmio win
8%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.3 – 0.6
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score41%
FlamengoWWWWD1st · 61 pts
GrêmioLLLDD18th · 30 pts

Ahead of Flamengo v Grêmio in the Brasileirão Série A on 4 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Flamengo the most likely outcome at 77%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.3 for Flamengo and 0.6 for Grêmio. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Flamengo goals down (↓), Grêmio goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Flamengo 2W · 1D · 0L.

Grêmio0–1Flamengo
Flamengo1–1Grêmio
Grêmio0–2Flamengo

Recent form

Flamengo
D@ Santos2–2
Wvs Bragantino2–1
Wvs Corinthians2–1
W@ Clube do Remo1–0
Wvs Mirassol2–0
Grêmio
D@ Clube do Remo1–1
Dvs Palmeiras0–0
L@ Botafogo2–3
Lvs Vasco da Gama1–2
L@ Vitória0–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Flamengo winDrawGrêmio win

FAQ

Who will win Flamengo vs Grêmio?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Flamengo the most likely result at 77%. Full split: Flamengo win 77%, draw 16%, Grêmio win 8%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Grêmio?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Flamengo 2–0 Grêmio). Projected goals: Flamengo 2.3, Grêmio 0.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring.

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