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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Cruzeiro 2–0 São Paulo

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 29 · Thu 8 Oct, 00:30 UTC · Full time

2 – 0

Cruzeiro 2–0 São Paulo — Cruzeiro won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Cruzeiro to win at 52%, and the exact 2–0 scoreline at about 10%.

Pre-match model view

Cruzeiro win
52%
Draw
25%
São Paulo win
23%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.6 – 1
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score49%
CruzeiroLWLWW5th · 48 pts
São PauloLWLLW9th · 39 pts

Ahead of Cruzeiro v São Paulo in the Brasileirão Série A on 8 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Cruzeiro the most likely outcome at 52%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.6 for Cruzeiro and 1 for São Paulo. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Cruzeiro goals down (↓), São Paulo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings — Cruzeiro 2W · 1D · 1L.

Cruzeiro2–0São Paulo
São Paulo4–1Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro1–0São Paulo
São Paulo1–1Cruzeiro

Recent form

Cruzeiro
Wvs São Paulo2–0
W@ Vitória3–1
L@ Santos1–2
Wvs Paranaense3–1
L@ Vasco da Gama1–3
São Paulo
Wvs Vitória2–1
L@ Cruzeiro0–2
Lvs Santos1–2
Wvs Internacional1–0
L@ Palmeiras0–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Cruzeiro winDrawSão Paulo win

FAQ

Who will win Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Cruzeiro the most likely result at 52%. Full split: Cruzeiro win 52%, draw 25%, São Paulo win 23%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Cruzeiro 1–0 São Paulo). Projected goals: Cruzeiro 1.6, São Paulo 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring.

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