Footyntel.

Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Corinthians vs Grêmio — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 37 · Sat 28 Nov, 00:00 UTC

Corinthians win
45%
Draw
29%
Grêmio win
26%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.2 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams score41%
CorinthiansLLLLL16th · 32 pts
GrêmioLLLDD18th · 30 pts

Ahead of Corinthians v Grêmio in the Brasileirão Série A on 28 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Corinthians the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.2 for Corinthians and 0.9 for Grêmio. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Corinthians goals down (↓), Grêmio goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

1211510015136200983100431000110000000000012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Corinthians vs Grêmio?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Corinthians the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Corinthians win 45%, draw 29%, Grêmio win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Grêmio?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Corinthians 1–0 Grêmio). Projected goals: Corinthians 1.2, Grêmio 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring.

← Brasileirão Série A table & projection