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Brasileirão Série A · Fixtures

Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama — Match Prediction

Brasileirão Série A 2026 · Matchday 21 · Sat 14 Nov, 23:30 UTC

Chapecoense win
34%
Draw
24%
Vasco da Gama win
42%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score61%
ChapecoenseLLLWL20th · 21 pts
Vasco da GamaWDLWL13th · 38 pts

Ahead of Chapecoense v Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão Série A on 14 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Vasco da Gama the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Chapecoense and 1.6 for Vasco da Gama. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chapecoense goals down (↓), Vasco da Gama goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Chapecoense 0W · 1D · 0L.

Vasco da Gama1–1Chapecoense

Recent form

Chapecoense
L@ Bragantino0–3
Wvs Fluminense2–1
L@ Botafogo0–1
Lvs Paranaense1–4
L@ Vitória0–4
Vasco da Gama
Lvs Flamengo1–4
Wvs Corinthians3–2
L@ São Paulo0–1
Dvs Clube do Remo0–0
W@ Botafogo2–1

FAQ

Who will win Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Vasco da Gama the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Chapecoense win 34%, draw 24%, Vasco da Gama win 42%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Chapecoense 1–1 Vasco da Gama). Projected goals: Chapecoense 1.4, Vasco da Gama 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

Where is Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama played?

Chapecoense host Vasco da Gama at Arena Condá in the Brasileirão Série A on 14 November 2026.

What is the Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meeting in our data, Chapecoense have 0 wins, Vasco da Gama 0, and 1 was drawn.

← Brasileirão Série A table & projection